Climate risk analysis &

 

adaptation plan

The climate crisis is already making itself felt in your value chain, your assets and your business model. Pantarein helps you map the physical and transition risks systematically and translate them into an adaptation plan that makes your organisation more resilient.

Why a climate risk analysis is crucial

Physical climate risks – flooding, drought, heat stress, extreme rainfall – affect business sites, suppliers and logistics chains. Transition risks – carbon prices, stricter legislation, shifting market preferences – have an impact on your business model.

Climate risk is first and foremost a strategic business risk, because it affects your assets, your continuity and your competitive position. On top of that, the CSRD (ESRS E1) requires a climate risk analysis following the TCFD logic, including scenario analysis. Lenders and investors expect both a qualitative and a quantitative assessment. Organisations that fail to organise this properly run a compliance risk, but a strategic risk as well, because you cannot manage an exposure you do not understand.

Which businesses does this affect?

  • Companies that need to carry out a CSRD/ESRS E1-compliant climate risk analysis
  • Organisations whose production assets, logistics chains or raw material sourcing are exposed to physical climate risks
  • Companies in sectors with high transition exposure (energy-intensive, fossil inputs, regulated sectors)
  • Organisations that want to translate their climate risk analysis into a concrete adaptation plan and investment priorities

Our approach

We work in four steps:

  1. Scope and scenario framework – We determine which sites, activities and value chain relationships are in scope and which climate scenarios to use (IPCC, IEA), aligned with the ESRS E1 requirements and your own context.
  2. Physical risk analysis – Using climate projection data and site-specific information, we map the physical risks for each site and value chain relationship – exposure, sensitivity and vulnerability – for 2030 and 2050.
  3. Transition risk analysis – We assess your exposure to policy risks, technological transition, market change and reputational risks – in relation to your carbon footprint and your business model.
  4. Adaptation plan and investment priorities – We translate the risk analysis into an adaptation plan: which risks call for immediate action, which call for monitoring and which can be insured? We help you substantiate and document your investment priorities.

What does it deliver?

  • CSRD/ESRS E1 compliance: a climate risk analysis that meets the TCFD logic and the ESRS reporting requirements
  • Strategic risk management: insight into which risks are genuinely material for your organisation and your value chain
  • Investor and lender confidence: a quantitatively substantiated analysis that lenders can use in their own climate risk assessments
  • An adaptation plan: a concrete plan that makes your organisation more resilient to the risks you cannot eliminate
  • A basis for your climate strategy: risk analysis as the complement to your mitigation strategy – for a complete climate picture

Related services

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the next step

Ready to manage climate risks systematically?

A sound climate risk analysis gives you more than compliance – it gives you strategic insight into the risks that matter most to your business model. We help you carry out that analysis and translate it into action.

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